FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American ...

The Voting Rights Act of 1965 was supposed to settle the debate over race, redistricting and representation. Instead, it started new ones. Since the act prohibits states from reducing a minority group ...

Includes polls of special elections and runoffs. Excludes polls from pollsters that are banned by FiveThirtyEight, New Hampshire primary polls taken before the Iowa caucuses and other states’ primary ...

In the first month of 2023, 25 people lost their lives in four mass shootings in California over just eight days. It’s a grim statistic, made all the more distressing when you consider the fact that ...

Largest delegate percentage reflects the largest number of delegate votes won by the former president on a ballot for the presidential nomination, out of the total number of delegate votes at the ...

When the 2022 World Cup made its debut on Sunday, it kicked off one of the most significant in-game uses of technology in sports history. All tournament long, match balls will contain a sensor that ...

When the new Congress comes into session in January, there will be more Black Republicans serving together on Capitol Hill than at any point since 1877. The number? Five. 1 For years, Republicans have ...

Points were assigned based on average Elo ranking in a given year, with full weights attached to football and half-weights attached to each of men’s and women’s basketball. A school was determined to ...

All market ratings are adjusted for projected population growth through 2040. Popularity measured by Google Trends. Sources: Zach Miller, Google Trends, The New York Times, CollegeRaptor.com, ...

This past spring, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott captured headlines for his plan to bus migrants to Washington, D.C. He said he was concerned that there would be an influx of migrants crossing the state’s ...

Meena Ganesan was a senior editor at FiveThirtyEight. When Will We Know 2022 Midterm Election Results? By Elena Mejia, Nathaniel Rakich, Aaron Bycoffe, Maya Sweedler, Alex Newman and Meena Ganesan ...

Though the UCLA Bruins lost to eventual No. 1 seed Arizona twice during the 2002-03 regular season, they delivered an upset in the Pac-10 Conference Tournament. On its face, the argument that the ...